Matthew Walton makes a value contribution to the stats and betting debate, arguing that close analysis can give you an edge over other punters…

Every week Andrew Atherley will be selecting three odds-on shots worth laying. But there’s a catch: he only gets paid by betting.betfair.com if at least two prove to be winning bets. Here are week one’s picks.

After weeks of poor form the Black Cats find themselves right in the mire on the final day of the season. Can they guarantee their top flight survival against Guus Hiddink’s men? Best Bet: Back 0-1 @ 8.2 & 0-2 @ 10.5 (split stakes).

Newcastle United have left themselves with it all to do on the final day of the season. Do BettorLogic believe Alan Shearer’s men can save themselves at Villa Park?
Best Bet: Back Aston Villa/Aston Villa @ [4.5]

Will this be the day when Manchester United wrap up their third consecutive Premier League title? BettorLogic think so. Best Bet: Back Man Utd/Man Utd @ [2.64].

West Brom continue to try to recreate their “Great Escape” from a few years ago and will have to get something from their match against Liverpool if they are to stand any sort of chance. Bettorlogic talk us through the numbers as we go in search of value.

They may be in a perilous position at the foot of the table but Gareth Southgate’s men have a knack of taking points from the Big Four. Can they repeat that feat at the Emirates on Saturday? Best Bet: Back Arsenal clean sheet @ [2.24].

With only six games left to save his beloved Newcastle United, new boss Alan Shearer needs a win. Do Bettorlogic expect it to come at White Hart Lane on Sunday? Best Bet: Back Tottenham/Tottenham @ [2.78].

Bettorlogic provide the stats to help you make the right picks on a relegation six pointer. Best Bet: Back Sunderland win @ 1.94.

Bettorlogic crunch the numbers as Newcastle, desperately in need of three points, travel to a Stoke City side who can go a long way to guaranteeing their own survival shoud they win. Best bet: Back Draw/Stoke @ [6.6].

Neither side are in good form at the minute and both are in desperate need of points for very different reasons. But current form aside, the stats bode very well for Man Utd who should really take all three points, say Bettorlogic. Best bet: Back Man Utd/Man Utd @ 2.2.

It’s a match that could have a huge bearing on the outcome of the Premier League and one that the stats suggest Liverpool will do very well to win, according to Bettorlogic. Best bet: Lay Liverpool @ [1.7].

A team in form against a team out of form – surely there can only be one winner. Bettor Logic bring you the necessary stats to make the right picks. Best Bet: Back Liverpool clean sheet @ [1.98].

Fresh from a 4-0 drubbing of Blackburn and an ill-tempered win over Hull in the FA Cup, Arsenal travel to St James’ Park, a stadium that has not been a happy hunting ground for them in recent times. Bettorlogic talk us through it. Best bet: Back the draw @ [3.85].

As the race for fourth place continues, Aston Villa seem to have gone off the boil of late. Good thing then that they’re hosting a side with one of the worst away records in the division. Number-crunchers supreme bettorlogic talk us through it. Best bet: Back Villa clean sheet @ [1.53].

Man Utd are in irresistible form in all competitions at the moment but this does appear to be the strongest Liverpol side in years. Uninterested in hunches and the like, Bettorlogic talk stats in order to find some good betting options. Best bet: Back Man Utd to win @ [1.99].