The sun’s out, the scene’s set and Cheltenham’s buzzing in anticipation if a truly super Sunday. Today’s card contains a bit of everything – perfect!
With the ground against the odds on favourite in the opener I fancy Irish challenger Fosters Cross to make his mark (1.10pm).
He looked very good in beating Loosen My Load over [...]
Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category
Pipe dreams of a Cheltenham super Sunday – today’s tips
Four Dartsmen Poker Qualifier – Win a seat to the stanjames.com World Matchplay
tonight see’s the first of the final ‘Four dartsmen’ qualifiers, with only four days remaining and the final seat being claimed on Friday, don’t miss your chance to join the gang at the Winter Gardens, Blackpool for the Stan James World Matchplay this summer…
Wednesday night sees Russ ‘The Voice’ Bray step forward with his $250 bounty, just look for ‘thevoice’ at the tables.
And this week competition is “Murray’s Mint!”…
Murray, a man so popular they’ve actually named a mint in his honour… Leaving the foul breathed, Fondue Fed struggling to keep up in the ‘fan proximity’ stakes. However, it’s not about minty gasps this weekend. Wimbledon, the intergalactic centre of the lawn tennis cosmos, as it’s commonly referred to, hosts the finals this weekend starting Saturday with shock draw contestants the Williams sisters slogging out the ‘ladies’, and we hope to see a Murray v Federer final on the Sunday…
Lions Tour Betting
The Lions will be looking for revenge and to regain a bit of pride from the 3 test series v South Africa which could have gone either way after a last minute kick last week. Coach Ian McGeechan has made 8 changes to his starting 15, South Africa have managed to top this with 10 changes to their team after the brutal 2nd test. South Africa go into this match as 8 point favourites, can they win and make it a 3-0 whitewash?
Stan James will be offering Evens the handicap for the Lions v South Africa from 5pm today so make sure you take advantage of our special prices!
Jordan to pour her heart out to Piers, but how many of us will be watching?
Jordan is due to open her heart out to Piers Morgan in an ITV interview on Saturday July 11th but have the viewing public had enough of the Katie & Peter circus?
Stan James have opened a market as to how many viewers will tune into the 45-minute show on ITV1 on Saturday week, what colour will she wear for the big occasion and whether or not she will cry under the interrogation from the Britain’s Got Talent judge?
Big Brother 10 who will be the 4th person evicted?
Angel has flown the Big Brother nest so that leaves 11 lucky contestants still fighting it out to be crowned winner of Big Brother 2009, however 11 will soon become 10 with the eviction of either Halfwit or Sree this week. Freddie is up for the 4th time running but has become the shows 7/4 strong favourite to win overall it’s very likely he’ll survive once again. Rodrigo has dropped down to joint second favourite this week alongside Siavash. Sree is Stan James favourite to go this week mainly due to his stalking of Noirin, maybe all his obsessing has sealed his fate which may see his Big Brother dream coming to an abrupt end.
Wimbledon 2009 finals this weekend
Murraymania heats up again this afternoon when the Brit will try to defeat American Andy Roddick to become the first British male in the Wimbledon Final since 1938. Despite recent great form and the hype surrounding him, the Scot knows he has to give his very best against former Wimbledon finalist Roddick. Have a look at over 20 markets we have created for this highly anticipated Semi Final!
Open De France Enhanced Win Only Market
This week’s Tour schedule sees golf betting action from the Open de France where last year Pablo Larrazabal beat former Order of Merit winners Colin Montgomerie and Lee Westwood to the title.
Who will take the title this year?
Once again we are offering our unique Place Only and Enhanced Win Only markets, so why not take advantage!
Stan James is betting In-Running from 9.30am tomorrow; catch all the action live on Sky Sports 2.
Stan James July 2009 sporting highlights
July 1-5 Las Vegas Desert Classic (darts)
Nearly 200 players have entered the Las Vegas Desert Classic which is live on Sky between 1st and 5th July held in the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino. This is the eighth year of the Tournament which has been won by Phil “The Power” Taylor” on four previous occasions including last year when he defeated James Wade 13-7.
July 2-5 AT & T Tournament (golf)
Tiger Woods returns to the PGA tour having failed to defend his US Open Title at Bethpage earlier in the month. This is likely to be Tiger’s last tournament ahead of the Open Championship at Turnberry next month. Following the demise of Setanta this event will be shown on Eurosport.
IPL Betting: Chennai Super Kings v Rajasthan Royals
Andrew Hughes provides the lowdow as the IPL’s form teams go head to head…
Team News
With both sides in a rich vein of form, I wouldn’t expect too many changes. Chennai may consider dropping Manapreet Gony again after a horror show with the ball on Thursday. Rajasthan have finally found a batting line up that works and will probably be unchanged.
Conditions
There doesn’t seem to be much evidence that batting second in day/night games here is a problem, indeed in the second ever Twenty20 game here back in 2007, Cape Cobras successfully chased down 187 batting under lights.
Match Odds
These two met nine days ago and the result on that occasion was a resounding win for Chennai, thanks largely to Suresh Raina’s 98 which set up a total of 164 that Rajasthan’s hit and miss batting line up was never going to overhaul. Since that game, both teams have been undefeated and find themselves perched at the top of the table. Rajasthan’s success is the more remarkable and the ability of Shane Warne and his coaching team to get the best out of unheralded youngsters is extraordinary. Naman Ojha and Abishek Raut are the latest Indian players to feel the Warne effect and with Graeme Smith back in form and Lee Carseldine steadying the batting order, Rajasthan have looked a lot more solid. Chennai are likely to be favourites, around the [1.7] mark, but anything above [2.1] for Rajasthan would represent real value.
Top Batsman
For Chennai, you can take your pick of Matthew Hayden and Raina, though Mahendra Singh Dhoni has been available at tempting prices for a while now and would be interesting at [6.0] or higher. The market for Rajasthan top bat is much more open and it could pay to take a chance on the youngster Ojha who has made such an impact. He is worth backing at potentially rewarding odds.
Featured Market
Rajasthan’s new opening pair of Smith and Ojha look promising and it could be worth backing them to provide the highest opening partnership at more than [2.0].
IPL Betting: Deccan Chargers v Kings XI Punjab
Andrew Hughes runs the rule over tomorrow’s fist encounter between a team that were unconvincing in victory last time out against one that was valiant in defeat…
Team News
Deccan’s win over Mumbai on Wednesday was not completely convincing and they may bring back key spinner Pragyan Ojha, possibly at the expense of Ryan Harris. Punjab made a valiant attempt to chase a massive total against Chennai on Thursday and didn’t do a lot wrong so will probably be unchanged.
Conditions
This is the first game at the De Beers Diamond Oval and though the evidence of the domestic Twenty20 matches to be held there is not conclusive, the impression is that batsmen will enjoy this wicket and with sunny weather forecast, there may not be much help for the bowlers.
Match Odds
Deccan’s perfect start ground to a halt with three straight defeats, due to the failure of their batting line-up to support Herschelle Gibbs and Adam Gilchrist. The departure of Fidel Edwards has weakened them further, but they scrapped well against Mumbai last time to stop the rot. Punjab improved after a poor start but have now lost three of their last four and their bowlers were smashed around the park by Chennai last time out. I would expect this to be a slightly scrappy affair, with both sides waiting on the return of their Aussie stars but Deccan are likely to be favourites, probably around [1.85] and should be backed at that price.
Top Batsman
The value in the Deccan top batsman market is to be found outside the opening pair. Tirumalsetti Suman has had an immediate impact, currently topping the Deccan averages and should be around [6.5] or higher. For Punjab, now might be the time to jump on the Yuvraj Singh bandwagon after his valiant half-century on Thursday. He won’t be much bigger than [4.0] but when he’s in form, he is consistent.
Featured Market
There are plenty of runs in this wicket and ‘Over 68.5′ in the Highest Individual Score market looks a good bet if you can get [2.0] or higher.
Guinnes Premiership Betting: History favours Tigers but remember lessons of Leinster
Geoffrey Riddle believes that the away sides will need to emulate Leinster’s heroics of last weekend if they are to progress to the final. But where does that leave bettors?
Ever since Munster meekly conceded to Leinster in the Heineken Cup last weekend, it has been difficult for punters to place their faith in anything. Leinster’s win was momentous, and at [1.33] the painful loss of backing the reigning champions will live long in the memory for those who invested in the Red Army.
A similar effort is going to be needed by Bath and London Irish this Saturday if they are to break the dominance of home sides in the Premiership play-offs. There have been nine play-offs since the inception of the knockout format in 2003, and only Andy Goode’s miraculous drop-goal effort last year for Leicester against Gloucester has propelled an away side into the Premiership final.
Bath travel to the Walkers Stadium to face regular season winners Leicester for the first semi-final at 3pm. London Irish take on their old landlords Harlequins at The Stoop at 5.30pm. Both of the home teams boast strong form, and it is no wonder therefore to see Leicester trade at [1.38] and Harlequins [1.57].
The Tigers, under their award-winning coach, Richard Cockerill, are on a sensational streak having lost just one of their last 11 matches in all competitions. They also have a strong pedigree in semi-finals, a stage at which they have not lost in their last seven attempts in all tournaments. And there are further statistics to suggest that Cockerill’s men may go all the way. No Grand Final winner has finished the league with less than 68 points, which, if taken literally, means Leicester are home and hosed already.
Bath have also played Leicester four times this season and won only once, the 25-21 Premiership fixture at The Rec in November. If you are a trader, the [2.32] about Leicester winning the Grand Final looks easy money ahead of next weekend’s Twickenham showdown.
However, Leinster’s win highlights how dangerous it is to write off the opposition so easily, and Bath’s form merits close inspection. Steve Meehan’s men have had a week more preparation time than their rivals, with Leicester facing a six-day turnaround.
Bath have performed exceptionally away from home in the league, scoring an average of 19.8 points on the road against sides that finished in the top six. They beat Sale and London Irish, and if the visitors can front up to Cockerill’s Tigers, the ‘overs’ in the total points market may well bust once more in a Leciester fixture.
Leicester average just over 32 points at home this season in all competitions, but that figure goes down to 27.7 when you take out the whippings against Bristol and Treviso. When you consider that Premiership semi-finals are generally high-scoring affairs, the ‘overs’ are an alluring bet for this match.
Although Harlequins and London Irish have been among the best sides for running the ball this season, it is actually their defence that has got them into the top four. As a result, the total points market looks tricky pre-match, particularly as these teams struggle to put in a solid 80-minute display.
Quins built up massive leads in the first half earlier in the season, while London Irish have struggled in the first 40 minutes throughout the entire campaign. They were level against Worcester last week at the break before going on to score four second-half tries to win 32-15, and last month they trailed Northampton 21-8 at the interval. It was the same story in both the matches against Harlequins at The Stoop this season, too, with Irish winning both encounters.
But a lot has been made of these weaknesses, both in the media and on the training pitch, and I’m not sure how much of a bearing these tendencies will have on the outcome of this fixture. I certainly wouldn’t consider Harlequins as a back-to-lay proposition solely for these reasons.
What is important, however, is the Exiles’ record away against teams in the top six. They drew with Bath, and lost to Gloucester and Leicester by two points. Only Sale stretched things by winning 14-8. As a result, Irish look a decent pre-match trade in the handicap market, as well as the winning margin market receiving 1-12 points.
Anyone who saw Irish play against Worcester a fortnight ago may have thought that skipper Bob Casey had never met Nick Kennedy before, such was the paucity of decent lineout ball in the first half. But Casey had just returned from injury, and the lineout will be a strong source of possession for the Exiles this time around. A useful tool in what is likely to be a close encounter.
Live Test Match Blogging Day Three: England v West Indies
Durham bowler Graham showed he knows his Onions as he took five wickets on debut as the West Indies collpased and England enforced the follow-on. The tourists are now very much on the ropes but with typical English May weather around you can’t take anything for granted writes Ed Hawkins.
England win by 10 wickets
Easy for England. Misery for West Indies. It could get worse for them up in Durham next week, too. They have struggled with the swinging ball and the cold. It’ll be twice as tough on both counts oop north. Still, it should be a terrific trading Test. Join us for all the market moves, stats and laughs next time.
18.00 Eng 15-0
Jeeeez Cook looks in awful touch. Put that in the notebook and save it for next week. He is feeling for the ball. His hands are doing all the work and his feet are going nowhere. Irritatingly, England are making heavy weather of this. Pathetic stuff really.
17.45 Eng 7-0
I suppose while we are on the subject of discussing England bowlers who have flattered to deice on friendly surfaces, we should include Ryan Sidebottom. Was super in England, and in New Zealand (which has the exact same pitches as here), before being poor in West Indies. He did do well in Sri Lanka, though as memory serves.
17.32 Eng 0-0
Andrew Strauss and Alastair Cook are ready to go. Come on Cook, don’t mess around here. Get on with it.
17.22 WI 256
That’s that then. England need 32 to win. Brendan Nash was the man to fall. He made 81 and very well too did he bat. We suspected he had it in him to score runs in these conditions so that give us a bit of a lift for the next Test. Knowing there is another WI batter other than Chanderpaul who can cope gives us punting scope. We could add Ramdin, too to form a little trio.
17.20 WI 256-9
Alas, I fear my new healthy-living lifestyle has gone awry. Although buying biscuits with only 1.3g fat per biscuit sounds a good idea, it all falls down when you eat 17 of them. I couldn’t help it. I just kept shovelling them in, almost in some sort of trance-like state. Oh well, at least I gave it a good go.
17.06 WI 250-9
Back to the ‘Know Your Onions’ chat. Phil Newport and Neil Mallender were both successful on their England Test debuts but barely played again. Newport, you may recall, played for Worcestershire. He took seven wickets on debut on a seamer against an inexperienced Sri Lanka tea. He played only twice more. Mallender, now an umpire, took 8 v Pakistan at Headingley in 1992. He played one more Test.
17.00 WI 249-9
The end is nigh. Fidel Edwards has fended one to the gully off Stuart Broad. He scored two and a falling Tim Bresnan took the catch. I tell you what, when he hit the ground a small child in Wales probably fell of their bike. He is the definition of the term ‘big unit’. So much so that he could probably sue Ikea for image rights.
16.42 WICKET 246-8
Big Sulieman Benn goes. Shoddy effort from him. That man Swann again. Meanwhile, Portuguese Pirate says: “I remember Richard Johnson taking a load of wickets against Zimbabwe (I think) about 6 years ago and then having little or no success after that.” Indeed, Johnson was the third man in our list of very English-type seamers who flattered to deceive. He did impress against Zimbabwe, taking 6-33 in 2003. However, he played only three more Tests. I’ll fill you all in about Phil Newport and Neil Mallender a bit later, too. I’m sure there are many, many more. Email me at hawkeyeview@hotmail.co.uk
16.43 WI 243-7
The Test Match End market continues to bop. ‘Come on, Eileen!’. Into [1.08] from [2.40] as Graeme Swann dismisses Jerome Taylor from his presence with a very shouty leg before appeal.
16.35 WI 230-6
There are 41 overs left tonight folks. That gives England ample time to take the four wickets required. There has been some interesting market movement as a result of that Nash-Ramdin partnership. The Test Match End has been jiggling around like your mum on the dance floor at a cousin’s wedding. It’s out to [2.10] to end today having been dead skinny earlier – about [1.40]. Day 4 morning is [3.40].
16.11 WI 225-6 TEA
Scores level. The session belongs to West Indies. However,Jerome Taylor looked very shaky indeed. England should still be confident of winning tonight with the longest session to come.
16.00 WICKET WI 224-6
Within three runs of England, West Indies have lost their sixth wicket. It was Ramdin who went. Bowled by Stuart Broad. England needed it because, true to form, when the ball stops swinging they look pretty toothless. Jerome Taylor is the new batsman. England briefly hit [1.04].
15.46 WI 201-5
Bit confused. They should be at tea. Perhaps my watch is fast. A flurry of boundaries for WI. Remember, this Lord’s wicket historically gets better to bat on. That is what we’re seeing here.
15.40 WI 189-5
50 for Ramdin. He is a good player this chap. We spoke about it first time round. Good to see WI showing some backbone here. They only trail by 36 runs, you know. England have to work harder.They will be pleased to go in at the tea break now to regroup.
15.30 WI 183-5
Our Graham Onions debate continues as he gets whacked for consecutive fours to bring up the 100 partnership between Nash and Ramdin. And you can back England again. At [1.01]. So, is Onions – who as I type has dropped a caught and bowled chance – just another in a long line of county seamers who impress in bowler-friendly conditions? A horses for courses selection. To get the debate going here are three names for you: Phil Newport, Neil Mallender and Richard Johnson.
15.15 WI 159-5
Made myself a salmon sandwich. It is, if I say so myself, bloody tasty. It’s part of the new lifestyle. I’m trying to cut down on the biscuits and cakes. I have some McVitie’s Rich Tea beside me. A biscuit staple. Nothing flashy but they get the job done. If Brendan Nash was a biscuit he would be a Rich Tea. There is only 1.3g fat in each biscuit. Unfortunately I let myself down yesterday by eating the Ravi Bopara of confectiuonary – two choc eclairs. It’s going to be a slow process, folks. Give me time.
14.58 WI 132-5
Drinks. Ravi Bopara has come on for a bowl to see if his wobbly-dobblers can prise out Ramdin or Nash. Probably a good move by Andrew Strauss to get a part-timer on from the Nursery End. There is a very strong wind blowing down the ground so Onions or Broad would have been really battling against the elements. You still can’t back England by the way. West Indies trail by 93. There can be no harm in having a little lay of England at [1.01] because sooner or later some money will turn up to back the hosts, particularly if these two continue to look comfy.
14.41 WI 122-5
This is a damning indictment on West Indies: despite a 42-run partnership by Ramdin and Nash, so unconvinced by their spirit, technique and ability are punters that you cannot back England to win this Test. England are [1.01] to lay.
14.37 WI 121-5
CSB has come up with an example of an English bowler who was taking Test cricket by storm and then disappearing. “Martin Bicknell played his fourth and final Test against South Africa in 2003. He took six wickets so would count as someone who had ‘arrived’ before being asked to leave.” I think the problem was that he was 34 at the time.
14.19 WI 112-5
Of course to compare Onions with McGrath is quite ridiculous. If Botham is putting him side by side with McGrath, he must be talking about the Australian in the twilight of his career. This is to damn with faint praise. McGrath would stick it on off stump time at no more than 85mph at the end. Effective but not devastating. To compare a bowler with McGrath at the beginning of his career (or indeed for the majority) is something different altogether. McGrath was deadly accurate, fast, got seam movement and extraordinary bounce. He was brilliant. One of the best there’s ever been. Not like Onions, then.
14.02 WI 96-5
Sirloin of Beef and Mike Atherton are arguing about how good Graham Onions is going to be. Beef reckons that Onions is the next Glenn McGrath. Atherton is urging caution and that he does not expect the Durham man, who has seven wickets so far, to be a “supertstar”. Unsurprisngly, I’m siding with Atherton. In swinging conditions against batsmen who find conditions alien, there are a plethora of English bowlers who would have picked up wickets. Maybe not as many as Onions but enough to convince people like Botham that England have unearthed something special. They almost certainly haven’t. Onions can be a steady, stock bowler for England but he is unlikely to thrive on flat surfaces against better batsmen. Email me at hawkeyeview@hotmail.co.uk if you can think of any bowlers of similar ilk who have burst ointo the scene only to disappear.
13.42 WI 80-5
England will look to wrap up the Test in this next session. Five wickets will do it for them. With the West Indies having been so spineless, it would be no surprise if they folded. The statistics suggest they will not keep Andrew Strauss and co waiting for long. In the last 10 Tests when they have been five wickets down for 80 runs or less, they average 163. Their average sixth-wicket partnership under the same criteria (but last 5 Tests) is just 25.
13.01 WI 80-5 LUNCH
Anyway, back to my stats. I spent ages working out some averages for you all in the hope that we might unearth some value on the West Indies runs market. When they have been bowled out for 200 or fewer in first-innings, in their next dig they average 215. And since 2000, in all away matches they average 226 in the third innings of a Test. Quite close together those aren’t they? You could argue that with those numbers in mind, the [2.54] they score 200 runs or more is value. But you’d be bonkers, too. They have only Ramdin to come and then it’s the bowlers.
12.57 WICKET WI 79-5
Try to keep up folks. Devon Smith’s stumps have rearranged by that man Onions. Gosh, Smith really is hopeless. He gets in, gets out. This time he’s made 41.
12.54 WICKET WI 75-4
So much for our hope that Chanderpaul might look comfortable.He’sout. Getting an inside edge onto his pad off Graeme Swann, Ravi Bopara held onto the chance. West Indies are repeating their collapse of the first innings. And for the second time they have reduced the impact of some nice stats work I’ve done. Will post those in a mo.
12.44 WICKET WI 70-3
Onions has made the breakthrough. Lendl Simmons caught at slip. I suppose England might just have begun to start feeling a little frustrated until that wicket. It brings Shiv Chanderpaul to the crease. Despite his golden duck in the first innings, he remains the most prized of wickets. He will be key to whether we decide to have a bet. If he starts to look comfortable, then we could consider a lay of England in the expectation that their price will drift. And with Brendan Nash in next, someone capable of being almost as obdurate, it provides a cushion. England are [1.04] to lay.
12.32 WI 69-2
Weather’s amazing isn’t it? Less than three miles up the road in London we have a bit of rain. Here the sun is out, the birds are singing etc. The players are staying on, though. West Indies pair Devon Smith and Lendl Simmons are on 37 and 22 respectively. For small money,you could back Smith at [2.00] for top bat. But my cash will be staying in my pocket. Smith’s record of getting a start and then failing to pass 50 is horrible. Only 5 50s in 53 Test innings I believe. And England haven’t tried Graeme Swann against him yet. Swann has nailed him four times this year. Shiv Chanderpaul is [3.50] and Any Other Batsman [3.55].
12.14 WI 46-2
Perhaps unsurprisingly it has been a rather quiet start this morning. There has been bits and pieces of swing for the England bowlers. A few umbrellas are going up around the ground but David Lloyd tells us that the clouds are high. As for the prices, they are high, too. The draw is [40.00] and WI are [60.00]. England are low,low, low at [1.04].
12.00 WI 43-2
We are underway. The pitch, which in the last six Tests has got better and better to bat on, will have been juiced up a bit by that shower. That will please England. West Indies, one would think, are just waiting for the knockout blow. They are a whopping 182 runs behind. Still, at least the sun is out and although it sounds rather pathetic, that should bring smiles to their faces. The commentators have put their poor bodly language down to the fact that it has been so chilly. I know, it is ridiculous isn’t it? Imagine if I had suggested you should back England in this Test because West Indies don’t like the cold. You’d have never come back.
11.37 WI 39-2 RAIN
Blue skies overhead now and sun streaming through the windows here (I’m actually 2.4 miles from Lord’s – I looked it upon some fancy map). It’s going to be a lovely day. The covers are off as well.
11.13 39-2 RAIN
Inspection at 11.30 with a view to starting at noon
11.11 WI 39-2 RAIN
Still wet at HQ. They are trying to get the water off the covers, though so the process of mopping up to get some play this morning is underway. Graeme Swann is raring to go: “If we bowl like we did yesterday we should win this today.”
10.52 WI 39-2 RAIN
Raining at HQ which is odd because it is not raining outside my window, which is about five miles from the famous old ground. I’m trying to work out which way the wind is blowing. There are a few puddles on the covers but Lord’s is nothing if not an excellent draining ground so as soon as the rain stops, the delay should not be much more than an hour. The draw remains as big as [38.00] and England are as short as [1.04].
IPL Betting: Delhi Daredevils v Mumbai Indians
Scott Ferguson fancies a top-order match bet as team of bottomless batting talent take on a team that looks pancake thin.
Team News
Delhi
Warner has been replacing Sehwag (injured hand), but this displaced Vettori. With Nannes, Dilshan and de Villiers, all firing, it’s a sign of good depth if Vettori has to go! Five batsmen have made 50s, covering for the underperforming Gambhir and Sehwag, while five bowlers have taken three wickets in an innings. Again, signs of very good depth. Only the part-time bowlers have been going for 8.5 per over or worse. Perhaps Glenn McGrath might get a game, he can’t be left on the bench forever. With five wins out of seven and games in hand, they can afford to rotate the team.
Mumbai
The Sachin factor hasn’t rubbed off on the rest of the squad. With three wins out of eight matches, only the rabble named after a talking car sit below them on the table, because Mumbai have beaten them twice. Duminy tops the runs tally and after him and Tendulkar, the cupboard is bare. Jayasuriya has scored one fifty and average 15 from the other six matches, Bravo has similar stats and the rest are just all-round poor. Napier has gone home, the batting depth is pancake thin. Zaheer Khan missed Wednesdays game with a shoulder injury, he may return. Malinga is the star bowler of this team with a dozen wickets, going at just five per over. Bravo and Jayasuriya have chipped in with eight and five respectively, but at more than eight per over. Harbhajan has been keeping things tidy at under seven per over, but three wickets from seven matches is a poor return for an elite bowler.
Venue, pitch and conditions
This is the last of three matches in East London. Both sides winning the toss have batted first and won. Chennai went nuts and scored 178 in a day-nighter, then tore Deccan apart bowling under lights. Mumbai could only rack up 148 against the shiny, talking cars, then struggled to bowl them out. Zaheer Khan took three as Malinga came out wicketless.
Rain is forecast tomorrow so bowlers will definitely have the advantage under lights.
Match odds
Delhi should start around the [1.73] mark, they’ve got the form on the board. Mumbai have beaten Kolkata twice and Chennai in the opening game. Their form is fading fast. Even if Delhi lose the toss, they’ll still be odds-on as the gap between then and Mumbai is significant. Delhi have depth in batting and bowling, Mumbai rely too heavily on too few.
Top batsman
The opening batsmen keep coming up short while Delhi’s best runscorers have been Dilshan and de Villiers. If you can get [5.0] or better for either of them, take it. Similarly, Tendulkar will always be short for Mumbai, but Duminy can usually be found at [5.0] because he doesnt open. Mumbai rely on him to hang around and save the innings, the top order rarely fires to keep him out of contention.
Featured market
The matchup between Duminy vs de Villiers appeals. JP Duminy has been a revelation in the past six months, almost single-handedly beating Australia in Australia, and now he’s faced with holding the Mumbai innings together with sticky tape. He accumulates runs (238 so far), whereas de Villiers (181) has the only century of the series and little else to show for it. Back Duminy to score more runs at [1.8] or better.
Rugby Betting: Lions not the only ones with thorns in their paws
The news that Tom Shanklin may join Tomas O’Leary missing the Lions tour to South Africa doesn’t necessarily mean that you should put your money on the hosts, says Ralph Ellis. After all, the Spring Boks have injury woes of their own to contend with.
It was just days after Ian McGeechan proudly announced his Lions squad to tour South Africa that Ireland scrum half Tomas O’Leary broke his ankle and the Munster star was ruled out almost as soon as he’d been ruled in. Now this morning comes more bad news for McGeechan and his sidekick Warren Gatland. Wales centre Tom Shanklin dislocated his shoulder playing for Cardiff against the Dragons last night.
It’s tough luck on the 29-year-old who also had to pull out of the 2005 Lions tour because of a serious knee injury which at the time appeared might have ended his career. The early bulletins are that he could yet recover in time, but however easily surgeons and then physios can pop a shoulder joint in and out, it’s a worrying development with the first game of the tour barely three weeks away.
But before you take that as the signal to pump even more money on to South Africa to win the Test series at [1.46], remember that injury news is a two-way street. And the Lions are not the only ones with a few thorns in their paws at the moment.
This morning’s Daily Mirror carries a good interview by Alex Spink with Wales’ record try scorer Shane Williams, but the sting is in the tail of the piece because the Springboks have got problems. Full back Conrad Jantjes has been ruled out with a broken leg, as has Bath’s World Cup winning fly-half Butch James who is suffering from cruciate ligament damage. There’s more, because Francois Steyn will not play for two months due to a knee injury and centre Jean de Villiers is doubtful for the first Test.
The last Lions tour went badly wrong because the players didn’t have enough time to buy into Sir Clive Woodward’s ethos of a huge backroom staff of specialist coaches and sports scientists and morale for the trip was never right. McGeechan and his number two Gatland come from different stock and you suspect will make a far better fist of moulding together a group of players from four different nations.
At the very least they could be capable of winning one of the Tests, and if you’re not brave enough to lay South Africa for the series at [1.46] then think about laying the 3-0 home winning margin at [2.8]. That’s a very short price for a whitewash and for all their initial niggling injury worries, the Springboks have more problems.
Incidentally Welsh wizard Williams, who only just made the 37 strong touring party after a fairly miserable back end to his season, reckons he’s ready to prove he still has plenty to offer. He says: “The Six Nations didn’t go as well as I wanted, but I was injured in the first game and probably only 85 per cent fit for the rest of the championship which was reflected in the way I played. I’m fully fit now, I’ve got plenty left in the tank, and I’m ready to prove it.”
Five things you might not know about Tom Shanklin
1. Born in Harrow in Middlesex, his full name is Tomos George L
2. He joined Saracens and went on a pre-season week of endurance work with the Royal Marines and Shanklin was named as the worst trainer. A few weeks later he was picked for his debut and never looked back
3. His dad Jim won four caps for Wales between 1970 and 1974 – and flew the 18,000 mile round trip to Japan to watch Tom’s debut for Wales in. Jim’s debut was also against Japan
4. He turned down an invitation from Clive Woodward to play for England when he was assembling the squad that subsequently won the 2003 World Cup
5. At the time he won his 50th Wales cap in February 2008 he was only the 20th player to reach that landmark
Live Test Match Blog: England v West Indies, First Test, day two
Ravi Bopara saved England’s bacon on the first day at Lord’s. He resumes today and will be looking to take the home side way beyond 300. Ed Hawkins leads you through the action on the pitch and on Betfair. Email him with your questions at hawkeyeview@hotmail.co.uk.
18.15 WI 39-2 CLOSE
Nasser Hussain has summed it up nicely: “Since 11 this morning West Indies’ body language has been abysmal.” And it has cost them the Test. First thing this morning they were close to being on top but they bowled poorly, allowing England to post 377. Then came the batting collapse. To be fair, we called it. The shoddy fielding was a clue that all is not well within the camp and when that is the case spineless batting usually follows. We will be back tomorrow to see if England can wrap this up inside three days. They are as short as [1.06]. West Indies trail by 186 runs.
18.04 WI 36-2
I’ve had a brilliant email from CSB. “I’m watching this thinking that England have the best bowling attack in the world? They look unplayable. Am I right?” In a word. No. What you are watching is an attack well-versed in exploiting bowler-friendly conditions casuing problems for a batting side who find them completely alien. I am not trying to take anything away from England. They have done their job superbly. But it is all part of the rollercoaster of watching England in Tests. Up one minute down the next. And the undulations are all because of the conditions. People on their sofas will reckon that England are suddenly a force. But when England go away from home on flat and hard surfaces (or to The Oval or historic surfaces at HQ), they will be baffled as to why the bowlers are toothless. In the Caribbean in the Spring this was exactly what happened. That is why a large salt cellar is the best companion when watching England no matter where they are on the planet.
17.44 WICKET WI 22-2
To continue the trend of a wicket every, oh I don’t know, 10 seconds, Ramnaresh Sarwan is the latest man to fall. He chopped on for two totake hismatch tally to the grand total of 15. Anderson is the wicket-taker. He has 2-14 so far in this innings. Simmons, he of the technique with more holes than the Newcastle defence, is in. There are still another 28 overs potentially tonight. Interestingly, no-one emailed to say that West Indies would lose only one wicket tonight. Everything was for 2 or more.
17.29 WICKET WI 14-1
Gayle gone again. Anderson has got one to go across him and the big left-hander, rooted in the crease as if he momentarily forgot how to use his legs, just guided a catch to Swann. That rules out only one person in our ‘how many wickets will Windies lose tonight comp’. Take a bow, Tom. He went for “no wickets because they will be so focussed, so desperate to concentrate that blood will flow from their ears and we’ll have lengthy stoppages with the physios coming on”. I thought the reasoning was fantastic. So unlucky.
17.11 WI 0-0
I didn’t bother to post to let you know the follow-on had been enforced because I like to think the readers of this blog are not falf wits. James Anderson has the new ball second time around. Well done Strauss. You’re learning. Let’s play a game. How many wickets will Windies lose tonight? Just email me at the address above. Be quick mind. You can still get [2.00] that this Test will be over before day four begins.
16.59 WI 152
Well done Onions. Five wickets for him. He gets lots of cuddles from his team-mates, not only because of his five-wickets but there was a few concerned faces with West Indies close to that follow-on. Time for a quick cuppa and maybe a fresh shirt or pair of trousers (or something) before they’ll be out there again.
16.53 WI 152-9
Frustration for England. Edwards and Baker are showing the batsmen how to do it. The hosts may start to panic shortly. That follow-on target is not far off. Just 26 needed.
16.44 WI 141-9
You can still get [2.00] that this match will finish today or tomorrow. West Indies have to get to 177 to avoid the follow on. It would be a surprise if they got there. England will enforce it although such is the lack of conviction about Andrew Strauss’ thinking after his brain surge this morning, that the Sky commentators have discussed it. There are still 38 overs left today.
16.33 WI 132-9
Apologies for my tardyness in reporting another wicket for England but I had to sort out my anti-virus software. That swine flu really is a worry isn’t it? Onions got the wicket of Taylor to give him four and he has just had one dropped to deny him his name on the board on debut. In a mo, we’ll try to work out when this game will be done with.
16.18 WICKET WI 119-8
Guess what? Embarrassingly inept this from the Windies. Onions picks up his third wicket in the over. England’s catching has been rather good, though. Swann held onto that one from Sulieman Benn, who was apparently at the Nursery End listening to music while the collapse was happening so arrived at the crease in something of a tis.
16.15 WICKET WI 117-7
West Indies reach pathetic status. Two wickets in three balls for Onions. Gosh, this Test could well be over by Saturday. Jerome Taylor is the Durham man’s second wicket. A gimme. He gloved it down the legside. England [1.13]
16.07 WICKETS WI 117-6
What do I know. Nash has gone. Poor shot from the leftie. Drove loosely at a Swann ball which was only going to move away off the pitch. Collingwood again took a sharp catch at slip. England are [1.31] … Hang on. Scrub that. WICKET. Graham Onions has picked up his first Test wicket. Simmons gone now. Ha! Knew he was no good. Complete and utter collapse by West Indies. They’ll do well to get the follow on here. Ramdin and Jerome Taylor are the new guys
15.54 WI 104-4
Simmons and Nash resume. Not convinced about Simmons. I’m hoping Nash might find a partner in Denesh Ramdin, who is a real battler. Anyway, I’m getting ahead of myself Simmons is still there at the moment. Nash has just whacked a four. I’m very keen to get with him in some way.I’ve had a scoot around the markets for you. If you want a bet (Mahavir take note) then you could do worse than back Nash at [3.00] to be top WI bat. Smith is leading the way with 46. Nash is [2.08] to score 50. The latter makes the former value if you see what I mean.
15.38 WI 99-4 TEA
Mahavir has been on the email. Good to hear from you friend. “What do you predict for this Test and at what rate should we back or lay the draw?” Well, with West Indies struggling, and more importantly Chanderpaul back in the hutch, our options have been limited. The Chanderpaul-Nash axis had potential to frustrate England and create value but that will not happen this time around. England at [1.41] are plenty short enough and ordinarily you could make a case for a lay because a couple of batsmen should be capable of hanging around. But remember what we said earlier about unhappy dressing rooms and batting collapses? At the moment we are relying on the Windies to produce some value. I wouldn’t like to rely on them to give the correct time of day at the moment. Meanwhile, the weather for the next few days is pretty good. Only light rain is forecast for Sunday.
15.29 WICKET WI 99-4
Two in two balls as Swann claims the biggest wicket of them all. Shiv Chanderpaul. It was a lovely delivery. Chanderpaul drove flat-footed at one that spun sharply from the block hole and Collingwood held onto the edge nicely. Our fears about West Indies getting up to 300 looked justified, particularly as their stellar man for such conditions has gone. Brendan Nash is the new man. He is not a bad replacement because he will thrive in this backs-to-the-wall situation.
15.26 WICKET WI 99-3
Smith’s old failings have returned to haunt him. He has played down the wrong line against Graeme Swann, losing concentration in horrible fashion. He made 46. It is the fourth time Swann has removed Smith this year. England as short as [1.61] now.
15.12 WI 94-2
Let’s have a look at this West Indies first-innings runs market then. Here are some stats. Since 2000 West Indies average 317 in their first-innings abroad. To be more specific, when they have been two down for 70 runs or less on the board, they have gone on to average 229. With such knowledge the lay at [1.69] for West Indies to score 300 or more is tempting. Devon Smith, though is looking solid. The caveat is that Smith, who has 43, has passed 50 only five times in 52 innings and Simmons has those technical problems that we spoke about earlier. Mmmm. It’s a poser that’s for sure. James Anderson is bowling nicely, too.
15.01 WI 76-2
Here’s a conundrum. Lendl Simmons is West Indies’ top runscorer on this tour with 173 runs in five innings. But having watched him in the Caribbean, his technique suggested he would be vulnerable to sideways movement. He tends to play to leg when the bat should be straight. Can England expose this fault? Can Onions expose it? He is getting his first bowl now
14.51 WICKET WI 70-2
A big wicket for England. Ramnaresh Sarwan has nibbled one behind to Matt Prior. It’s Stuart Broad again. With his blond hair and blue eyes he is proving to be an Arian beauty for England. England’s price collapses to [1.87]
14.44 WI 62-1
Bit of drizzle falling. They are playing on for the moment, however. In other news, Rajasthan beat Bangalore and I will sit down shortly to give you a steer on WI’s runs market. But first I’m going to have an eclair and a cup of tea.
14.32 WICKET WI 46-1
England needed that. It is Chris Gayle who has chopped on from a Stuart Broad delivery which he didn’t get on top of. Broad has been firing them down consistently at 90mph. A surprise? Well, sort of. He has rarely touched those speeds in international cricket but in his early days with Leicestershire he quite regularly bowled at these speeds. England are [2.04].
14.26 WI 43-0
I feel tremendously sorry for any punter who, with good reason, reckoned England were worth backing at [1.90] at the break or laid West Indies’ runs. They have been completely put away. The decision by Andrew Strauss to open the bowling with Graeme Swann defied belief. Nor does it reflect well on the English public school system. Radley, clearly, is not what it was. It goes back to our earlier discussions about how with good faith you can identify a value wager but be let down by incopmpetence. This isn’t incompetence. It’s Strauss not knowing his ABCs. Swann bowling is Plan C. James Anderson bowling is Plan A. He is their best bowler. He is most dangerous in these conditions. He had a new ball. Instead he was given one roughed up thanks to Swann and Broad spraying it around. WI run rate is a whopping 5.7.
14.06 WI 10-0
West Indies’ batsmen average the following runs per first-innings in the first Test of a series: 53 Chanderpaul, 39 Gayle, 30 Sarwan. They are the big three as far as the top innings runscorer is concerned. Sarwan’s average is not good enough and Gayle is probably still on SA/IPL time. Chanderpaul looks the call at [3.00] then. He has top-scored twice in his last two visits to HQ for West Indies. And he did the same in the Friends Provident Trophy for Durham a couple of years back. Good knowledge that eh? The real value call could be Brendan Nash at [8.00]. He is obdurate and has great powers of concentration. When it is nibbling around, people like Nash come into their own.
14.01 WI 1-0
Ridiculous. Graeme Swann has taken the new ball with Stuart Broad. What did Strauss have for lunch? Bloody angel dust? You’ve got a new ball in overcast conditions on a wicket which gets easier to bat on. Use it.
13.56 WI 0-0
The big question on everyone’s lips is: do you know your Onions? Luckily for you, I do. I’ve seen quite a bit of this Durham fast bowler. He gets front on, stands up nice and tall and really works through his action, generating his pace by working the left shoulder. He’ll hit top 80s but I would be surprised if he manages to fling any down in the 90mph region. You will also spot that he gets pretty close to the stumps, meaning he will be a threat to these two Windies lefties, Chris Gayle and Devon Smith. He’ll get the ball to straighten for leg befores. Smith is particularly vulnerable for no other reason that he ain’t very good. He averages 25 in Tests and 11 on this tour.
13.44 Eng 377
Six wickets for Edwards. Smashed Onions’ stumps with his first ball didn’t he? Still, England will be happy with their work. They’ll be raring to go with the ball.
WICKET 13.43 Eng 377-9
A breakthrough for Windies immediately after the break. Anderson, unsetteld still after his prang on the bonce, edged one behind off Fidel Edwards. That was Edwards’ fifth wicket and he will get his name on the honours board for the first time at HQ. A special moment. Well done him. Good for us watchers, too because the last thing we want is to have to put up with tailenders plodding. This moves the contest along nicely.
13.03 Eng 377-8
England in command. They have drifted from their earlier position at odds on but at [2.02] they are not far off. James Anderson took a nasty blow on the head from Fidel Edwards before getting the single he needed for his 47th innings without falling for a duck – he still holds the world record. Anderson may be feeling a little groggy so there is a possibility he may be looked at in the dressing room for concussion. West Indies do need their heads reading. They had an opportunity this morning with the new ball to bowl out England cheaply but ran in with an alarming lack of vigor.
12.44 Eng 374-8
West Indies really don’t look as if they want to be out there. Arms folded, hands in pockets, kicking the turf. If there are problems in a dressing room they always rear their ugly heads in two ways: poor felding and batting collapses. We’ve had the first one. Of course, the Windies are an unhappy lot most of the time. Since time began they appear to have been in dispute with their board about sponsorship, contracts and anything to do with earnings so perhaps we shouldn’t ready too much into it.
WICKET 12.33 Eng 368-8
Bopara gone. He’s failed to time a drive on the up and Brendan Nash, who dropped him last night, holds on to give Jerome Taylor the wicket. A fine innings from Bopara, who has put England in a winning position in this game. He made 143.
12.30 Eng 366-7
Who said Twenty20 was better than Test cricket? England’s run rate over the last 10 overs is 5.3. In the IPL this morning, Bangalore’s run rate is 4.8. Having sung England’s praises it is, however, worth noting that you can lay 425 runs or more at [1.90] currently. Sure, Bopara and Swann – who has his maiden Test 50 – are going well but 425 still looks a way off, particularly with only Onions and Anderson to come.
12.11 Eng 347-7
This Bopara-Swann axis has been worth 70 runs so far. A real bonus for England, who played with style this morning. No grit, though. They haven’t needed to. West Indies have been woeful and I’m not too sure about their body language. The speed of the pacemen has been down and there are a few glum faces. I wonder whether the late arrival of Chris Gayle has played a part? England, fairly, are now odds on at [1.97].
12.00 Eng 339-7
Just a pointer for you on this IPL: Rajasthan, who have just claimed their second wicket, are as sharp and canny in the field as they have ever been. They are the in-form team at the moment and Shane Watson could be back next week to bolster their batting. As holders they should never be written off but you get the impression that a few tried to do so. They are [3.05] to reach the final and [5.04] to win it.
11.54 Eng 331-7
The state of world cricket has been encapsulated for me in the last minute. I switched over briefly to the IPL game between Rajasthan Royals and Royal Challengers Bangalore and heard the commentator screech: “In the air! That a DLF maximum!”. I immediately turned back to hear a nasal Nasser Hussain offer: “That’s edged down to third man.”
11.43 Eng 321-7
My rant seems to have worked. We are back on. That break could prove costly to the reputation of the Test game, though. It was pathetic. England could regret it, too. Bopara and Swann have to start again. During the IPL (topical) we have seen how that sort of break disrupts a batsman’s concentration with wickets regularly falling after the ten-over strategy break.
11.38 Eng 313-7 BAD LIGHT STOPPED PLAY
I’ve switched the IPL on instead. Take that Test cricket. Of course I’ll be keeping an eye on what is happening at Lord’s but how many more out there will be doing the same. What I’ve done there is personify the action of millions of cricket watchers in the world: they are switching off from Test cricket in favour of the more thrilling Twenty20 version. Tests are a bit like your grandad: stuffy, need time to warm up and averse to too much excitement. Twenty20 is some hot young chick with blonde hair and a figure out of a cartoon. Literally. Look at those dancing girls! They don’t come off for bad light in the IPL. Why? Because, rightly or wrongly, it is recognised that sport is no longer sport. It’s entertainment. Test cricket is entertainment as well. Look at the corportae boxes which a re sold out at HQ. They don’t care about the dusty rules and regs or the spirit of the game. They want to be entertained.
11.28 Eng 313-7 BAD LIGHT STOPPED PLAY
This is what is wrong with Test cricket. Hugely under threat from the upstart Twenty20 and needing all the good publicity it can get, we have players offered the light and taking it. Bonkers. Not just from a ‘Test future’ argument, either. England have scored 24 runs in five overs this morning. They have been completely dominant. So why go off? It wasn’t as if they were struggling to see the ball (see previous stat about the runs they’ve scored). The draw is [2.50]. Now, what time does the first IPL match start?
11.17 Eng 307-7
Our first shot of the Betfair blimp today. I wonder if we could arrange for me to blog live from the blimp for a day? Okay, it doesn’t look big enough for me to do so in comfort but surely they could tag on some sort of gantry? Probably too expensive. Indeed, I’d imagine hiring a blimp could itself be quite costly, particularly when you fasten a TV camera to it. Why not just hire Fern Britton for the day, stick her in a Betfair t-shirt and give her a camera? The principle is the same. She would still be a Betfair blimp. England’s score has rattled along thanks to consecutive fours from Graeme Swann off Fidel Edwards
11.06 Eng 295-7
New ball taken. I had almost choked on my cornflakes when Sulieman Benn was given the first over with the old ball, reckoning Chris Gayle was up to his old tricks again. But no fear, it was merely to ensure Fidel Edwards got the end he wanted with the red cherry.
11.00 Eng 289-7
Morning all. I am back in front of the telly to bring you all the market moves from the first Test at HQ. Having slept on it, I am sure West Indies are going to mop up pretty quickly this morning. Remember, they’ve got a new ball and both Ravi Bopara and Graeme Swann start afresh. Fidel Edwards and Jerome Taylor, the two quicks, should be well rested, too. Windies are [5.00]. England are [2.74] and the draw is [2.86].
IPL Betting: Chennai Super Kings v Kings XI Punjab
Swashbuckling Indian star MS Dhoni has a settled Chennai side purring. Andy Richmond suggests they’ll be successful today against Kings XI…
Team News
The importance of the match should result in both teams playing close to their perceived strongest line ups. Chennai will continue with the prolific Matthew Hayden and Suresh Raina and know they can rely on some lower order big-hitters such as MS Dhoni and Jacob Oram. Murali will as ever play a vital role, particularly if Chennai can bat first, which they have done in their last three games. This has resulted in a three game winning streak, transforming their fortunes.
Kings XI lack strength in depth and will probably have to play much the same side as was thrashed by the Rajasthan Royals in their last game by 78 runs – their bowling and lack of leadership looking more a liability despite Kings being only 2 points off the lead in an increasingly tight competition – Kolkata apart.
Venue, Pitch, Conditions
This and the earlier game will be played at Centurion Park – this one under the lights and I’m sure Chennai will be desperate to bat first again – this will be the sixth game to be played at the venue, the earlier game being the fifth. Scores so far have been averaging around the 140 – 150 mark, with Chennai recording the highest T20 score so far against Rajasthan when scoring 164/5. No match so far has totalled over 300 match runs so laying over 300 match runs especially given the fact that the match is a day nighter and Kings have struggled to get momentum in their batting.
Match Odds
These two have not met before in the IPL 2009 but it is undoubtedly Chennai who have the momentum here having had a wretched start to the competition, the settled side under the leadership of Dhoni is starting to look dangerous and at anything better than [1.74] they should be supported here, I’d be tempted to go in even stronger if they bat first as this is a strategy which clearly suits them well.
Top Batsman
Chennai are batting well, of that there is no doubt and the bullying Aussie Hayden, Suresh Raina and MS Dhoni form a formidable trio – with the former two opening the innings they should have more opportunity than Dhoni and Raina who appears to have come into his own of late, posted a 98 here at Centurion Park off just 55 balls, anything over 5.0 would be overpriced in this market.
Kings have been disappointing with the willow, only Yuvraj Singh totalling over 200 aggregate runs so far, he’s been the consistent one in an otherwise lacklustre line up apart from a one decent innings each from Mahela Jayawardene and Kumar Sangakkara.
Featured Market
Thanks to Hayden’s brutality at the top of the order, Chennai are one of the fastest scoring sides in the first six overs and with more firepower placed in the middle order of the Kings XI lineup, I would definitely be looking to side with Chennai in this market if the price offers enough value.
Guinness Premiership Betting: Cockerill asks Tigers to dig deep
Less thank a week after winning a thrilling shoot-out at the Millenium Stadium, Ralph Ellis wonders if Leicester will be able to overcome Bath and earn a place in the Guinness Premiership’s grand final.
Teams win cups, squads win leagues. Successful teams inevitably play more games than losers, and when you get to the business end of the season it takes its toll. Tiredness, suspensions and injuries all mount up and that’s when you find the depth of a club’s bench to get them through.
And no, it’s not football I’m talking about here, however much those sentiments might ring true. It’s rugby union where the need for deep back-up in the professional era has been proved in the last few weeks.
If you followed this column’s advice you’ll have made money laying Gloucester in their two Guinness Premiership matches during the few days after they lost the Anglo Welsh Cup final. Their squad simply couldn’t handle the demands of those fixtures coming so quickly on the back of a massive defeat on what should have been their big day. It suggested it wasn’t possible to win a double in such a physical sport.
Now comes another club trying to have a go. With barely six days rest following Sunday’s thrilling Heineken Cup shoot-out win over Cardiff at the Millenium Stadium, Leicester Tigers must face Bath on Saturday for a place in the Guinness Premiership’s Grand Final.
The games are already taking their toll. This morning’s Daily Express reveals that England fly-half Toby Flood will be out of action for six months after rupturing his Achilles tendon during the Cardiff game. That will mean Sam Vesty, who has been in outstanding form since Richard Cockerill took over and rescued his career, taking over number 10 duties but leaves their goalkicking resources thin on the ground. Scrum-half Julien Dupuy, planning a summer move to Stade Francais, was hoping to be released early because he wants to get home to his girlfriend, but will now be forced to complete his contract.
While Gloucester’s Dean Ryan tried rotating his squad to deal with the back-up of big games, Cockerill is planning a different approach. Named yesterday as the Guinness Premiership’s head coach of the season, he’s asking the players who did an extra-time shift at the Millenium to turn up again at the Walkers Stadium.
“I won’t make as many changes as people might think because the guys are playing well and you have to earn your spot in this team,” he says. “I’ve posed this question to the players: ‘Is this our season? You guys have to choose whether you want to go on and win something.’”
It’s a bold plan, but it may not succeed. In the early market Leicester are priced between [1.38] and [1.78] to beat Bath and I’d suggest laying them at [1.5] and seeing if it’s matched. As for Europe, if you followed my advice at the start of April to back them for the Heineken Cup at [9.2] it’s time to lay at [1.92] and lock in some profit.
Five things you might not know about Sam Vesty
1. Born in Leicester in 1981, his middle name is Brook
2. He is the fourth generation of his family play for Leicester Tigers. His father Phil played 47 games as a prop, grandfather Bernard Albert played in the centre and his great-grandfather on his mothers side, Jack Dickens, was a wing.
3. He plays rhythm guitar – a Fender Stratocaster – in a rock band with one-time Tigers team mates Dan Hipkiss and George Chuter – it’s called Slo Progress
4. He played cricket as a wicket-keeper for Leicestershire’s second XI and county tennis at school before concentrating on Rugby
5. His sporting prowess hasn’t spread to his golf – it’s his favourite hobby but he can’t get his handicap below 18
Live Test Match Blogging: England v West Indies
It’s a new-look England team with Tim Bresnan and Graham Onions making their debuts; Harmison, Flintoff, Panesar and Shah all miss out. Chris Gayle has won the toss and put England in. Ed Hawkins talks us through it all…
18.26 Eng 289-7 CLOSE
Betting can be irritating sometimes. Well, often a lot of the time. Today was a good example. After tea we knew Fidel Edwards was going to come out with all pistols pumping. We knew that made West Indies decent value at the most inflated of three outcomes. But you can never legislate for butter fingers. Six chances went down. Had they taken three of them they would have been match favourites. But they didn’t. So we go in to day two with England trading at [2.22] favourite status – thanks largely to Ravi Bopara’s second consecutive Test ton – the draw at [2.66] and West Indies [5.00]. In truth it has probably been their day and with the new ball still available tomorrow they could get off to a flyer. But will they take the chances if they come? Join me tomorrow to find out.
WICKET 18.02 Eng 276-7
Tim Bresnan leg before to Big Benn. Bong! Probably a bit harsh that on the dubtant Bresnan.Shame. He only scored 9 and I was just trying to work out a convincing looky-likey.West Indies are still as big as [5.00] on the match market. That remains too big. Their aim would have been to bowl England out for less than 300 having won the toss and they could still do it. If they do, I take it back what I said about Chris Gayle’s leadership. They still have the new ball, too.
17.58 Eng 274-6
My Lord’s chum has been on again. “I’m also the youngest person in the Grandstand. And you can’t use your mobile phone. How are you meant to bet?” Well, I do believe there is a Betfair facility on the ground.
17.47 Eng 262-6
Finally, West Indies take a catch. Broad got a thick edge off Benn to gully for 38. I’m sure West Indies will take the new ball. Their price has come in from [7.60] to [5.80]. Despite their profligacy, they still have the potential tun run through England cheaply. Tim Bresnan is the new man at the crease. he’s got three first-class tons don’t you know?
17.38 Eng 260-5
I’ve just had a call from a friend inside HQ. “It’s sickening here, absolutely sickening. This Lord’s lot seem to think they’re ‘it’. You can’t go back to your seat in the middle of an over. You get attitude from the stewards. Who do they think they are? Getting into the ground is harder than getting on a plane at Heathrow. Your bags get searched, then you’re, oh what’s the word, patted down … no ‘frisked’, that’s it.” Safe to say you’re not enjoying yourself then? Meanwhile,it’s all happening. The new ball is available but Gayle has a habit of delaying and West Indies have dropped their sixth. Benn missing Broad off his own bowling
17.30 Eng 253-5
Since I last posted there have been two more dropped catches. Broad was put down by keeper Ramdin off Benn and Bop-ra has just been spilled by Smith at slip off Baker. Remember when I was banging on about this being a tough seeing ground? Well, England dropped nine catches against Sri Lanka in 2006. West Indies have missed five so far. David Lloyd reckons it is all down to poor concentration from the Windies. This was what England fielding coach Trevor Penney said of the Sri Lanka debacle at the time. “People make excuses and say that Lord’s is a bad seeing ground, but I don’t think that was the case here. This was more of a concentration thing.” Mind you,Penney is no longer the fielding coach. You could say the Penney dropped. HaHaHaHa!
17.19 Eng 241-5
Yep. David Lloyd has just handily saved me scurrying through the past scoreboards to check my ‘first England No 3 to score a ton for a year stat’. It was Michael Vaughan against New Zealand in the first Test of last summer.
17.15 Eng 238-5
A century for Bop-ra. That pretty much confirms his place for the first two Ashes Tests at least I would have though. Two centuries in his last two Tests. And the first England No 3 to score a big one for about a year if memory serves.
17.05 Eng 230-5
We are waiting for Bop-ra’s ton. He needs just four. But it’s drinks now. Some interesting views coming in regarding our IPL debate, which has taken a back seat because the action has been rather good. Tom has no problem with England’s players playing in the IPL “so long as they tear up their England central contracts. The whole point of such contracts is the ECB can control when they play. In return they are handsomely rewarded. You can’t have it both ways.” Digger reckons “Flintoff will probably not bother playing again. He’s earned a few bob from it and that’ll do him.”
16.42 Eng 211-5
West Indies are throwing away their victory chance as Chris Gayle shells Stuart Broad off that poor chap Edwards. Had they taken their chances, West Indies would be favourites. It would appear the catching curse at Lord’s has struck again. That’s three dropped today.
16.24 Eng 206-5
West Indies skipper Chris Gayle appears to have got away with one here thanks to some poor England batting. Really, England should have made hay after being put in. Gayle is in the process of making another mistake, though. He has insisted on bowling Lendl Simmons from one end while Edwards blazes away at the other. Simmons, a part-timer, allowed Broad to get some sighters and get accustomed to the pitch. What Edwards needs is a bowler from the other end who will give away nothing. ‘Tie an end up’ the phrase is. It just shows how when having a wager, you can’t always guarantee the common sense of the protagonists you rely on. Nor the safe hands. Broad has just flashed to gully off Edwards and the chance has gone down.
16.14 Eng 194-5
No drop this time. Lendl Simmons holds onto a slapshot from Matt Prior off Fidel Edwards who will not be denied. Simmons held on with aplomb. A gift of a dismissal from Prior. Very poor shot. West Indies have the breakthrough they craved. But at [5.30] they have not dipped as much as they should have done. Stuart Broad is the new man. He’s not a bad batter but he is most definitely a bowling all-rounder.
16.08 Eng 191-4
Well, we said this would be a key spell in the match. Edwards had induced an error from Bop-ra, who squirted a catch to Brendan Nash at square leg but he spilled it. Ooooh, it was an easy one. It was straight into his belly but he juggled with it and it went down. Lord’s has a reputation for being a difficult sighting ground. Traditionally,England drop a shedload of chances, most memorably against Australia in the 2005 Ashes Test. It is a trend which has since continued and has been partly to blame for so many draws.
16.00 Eng 182-4
West Indies have a huddle before the final session of the day. It is a key one. I’m sure Fidel Edwards will run in with vigour to get through to what is a very long-looking ENgland tail. But Bop-ra, who needs 28 for his second Test century, and Prior, eight for 50, have batted with aplomb. Good word that, aplomb. Gonna use it more often. England are [2.24], West Indies [5.40] and the draw is [2.26]. The WI price might be worth a tickle because if Edwards prises one out here, then England could be run through quite quickly.
15.43 Eng 182-4 TEA
That’s tea.You have to say it was West Indies’ session even if Ravi Bop-ra and Matt Prior have staged a recovery towards the end. We were discussing earlier in the day how many England would score, suggesting 425 or more might be a bit of value. But you can get [3.40] for small change at the moment from the earlier [2.70]. The key to whether they get close to those numbers is Fidel Edwards. After his three-wicket spell when he removed Cook and KP in successive balls and then Collingwood later, he took a breather. When he blazes in after the break, we could have a potential match-deciding moment.
15.32 Eng 171-4
West Indies are trying to get a wicket through frustration.Chris Gayle has packed the offside and instructed Lendl Simmons to bowl wide outside off. Someone like Prior normally likes to carve through that region but he is being restrained at the moment, refusing to play Gayle’s game.
15.20 Eng 159-4
Bop-ra and Prior are looking very comfortable indeed. Of course Prior at No 6 is a promotion because of the loss of Andrew Flintoff to another injury. Given Flintoff’s form with the bat – or perhaps that should be ability – England may feel more cosy if Prior makes this position his own. This partnership is worth 50 and as a result West Indies have drifted to [5.20].
15.00 Eng 142-4
Let’s have our heated debate. I posed a question earlier whether you thought it was right that players were allowed to prepare for a Test series by playing in the IPL. In the case of Chris Gayle, instead of properly preparing himself and his team, he turned up only two days before the start of this Test. That cannot be right. JTB has emailed to say: “I’m fully expecting Gayle to fail. He has not acclimatised to this country or to the format.” Keep those emails coming to hawkeyeview@hotmail.co.uk
14.46 Eng 124-4
50 for Bop-ra. Pleasing for him. There is an interesting sub plot here. If Bop-ra accumulates another 50 here, not only will he cement his place at No 3 for the first Ashes Test in Cardiff in July, but he will also, most probably, end the career of 16-Test ton Michael Vaughan. Rather sad that because Vaughan has been the most pleasing-on-the-eye batsman I’ve seen in the 2000s. He had a lovely cover drive. But things change. And Bop-ra has hit a few sumptuous cover drives of his own.
WICKET 14.31 Eng 110-4
Fidel Edwards is bowling terrifically. Collingwood has fallen to his pace. It was an edge into the hands of Devon Smith at slip. Edwards has claimed three wickets in this spell and has been the catalyst for WI’s price dropping from the mid-teens at lunch to [3.75]. The worry for England is their long tail. After Matt Prior, who debuted with a ton against WI on this ground, come Stuart Broad, Tim Bresnan, Graeme Swann and then bowlers.
14.20 Eng 105-3
England’s progress was pretty serene until Cook and KP fell in the space of two balls. So how many are they going to score in this first innings? Well, we can get a pretty good idea by looking at the records of first innings at Lord’s since 2000. When England bat first in that time frame they average a whopping 436 runs. At a healthy rate of 3.6 runs per over, to boot. Before the collapse they were [1.40] for 425 runs or more and [1.60] for 450 runs or more. At that time the value look like being the [2.01] for 475 runs or more. Well, they remain that price for that total. But. And it’s a big but, they are now [2.71] for 425 runs or more.
14.07 Eng 96-3
Our innings runs discussion has been delayed. I’m having to redo all my sums. No matter. It is quite exciting. Who needs the IPL when you’ve got action like this? Not Paul Collingwood, the new batsman, that’s for sure. Collingwood didn’t play a single match in his stint with the Delhi Daredevils. A rather damning indictment on England’s chances in the World Twenty20 later this summer when the skipper can’t get a game. We will watch Colly closely because we know how to spot if he is in form or not. Is that bat of his coming down straight?
14.03 WICKET Eng 92-3
Can’t keep up. KP gone first ball to a corker from Fidel Edwards. Two in two balls. Plenty of movement on the market as a result. West Indies’ price has collapsed to [6.60] and the draw is out to [2.40]. But have a look at England’s price. It has dropped from the lunch break to [2.10]. Clearly punters have decided they are finally seeing a Lord’s wicket which will produce 20 wickets.
WICKET 13.57 Eng 92-2
Cook gone.Hurrah! Awful shot, too. A half-hearted, tentaive step forward and a prod with his bat as if he was poking a dead badger with a stick, fully expecting to run away squealing like a girl. Well, he’s on his way back to the pav now. KP is in.
13.43 Eng 88-1
Brendan Nash is bowling after lunch. Fill your boots time. It is an indiation of what a lifeless pitch this is. Gosh, I really hope we are not on our way to a seventh-straight stalemate at Lord’s. Innings runs chat coming up…
13.02 Eng 88-1 LUNCH
True to form, England are scoring runs in the first-innings at Lord’s. When we come back we’ll have a good look at the innings runs market. The market has reacted to form as well. The draw price has gone well odds into [1.92]. England are [2.42] and West Indies are [14.50].
12.43 Eng 76-1
Watching Alastair Cook eek out runs against West Indies with only the two shots he has in his armoury is a bit like being told by the doctor that a nasty fungal infection has returned. It is very uncomfotable to put up with and you just wish it would go away for good. Ravi Bop-ra (apologies for not using this far more entertaining pronunciation earlier) is something of an antodote, however. His wristy strokeplay is a joy to behold. Bop-ra has 23, Cook has 34.
12.31 Eng 68-1
A “Citi moment of distress”. That’s better.
12.17 Eng 61-1
“Citi moment of success”. I can’t leave it alone. I don’t wish to be crude but in my household we change the first word slighlty to describe when one has successfully completed a bathroom activity. Problem is, we’re out of loo roll here at the moment and, obviosuly, I can’t go down to the shops to restock. I am in danger of having a “Citi moment of disaster”.
12.07 Eng 52-1
It is great to be back in front of the box blogging on Test match cricket. I have been feasting on a diet of IPL for the last few weeks and I am not embarrassed to say that, despite the cricket being hugely entertaining, I did rather tire of the hype. The dancing girls (eventually) get on your nerves while the commentating is atrocious. “That’s gone for six … no straight up in the air … should be out … there’s man under it … well, it’s landed safely in no man’s land”. Why don’t they just wait a few seconds to see what happens instead of trying to predict the exact flight path of each shot? What grates most is their insistence on torturing to death the English language. A six is not a six. It is a “DLF maximum”. As the tournament has progressed, the commentators have decided that DLF should morphe into verb form. “He’s DLF’ed it!”. And don’t get me started on “Citi moment of success”.
11.41 Eng 34-1
Ravi Bopara is the new man at the crease. Good to see him back in the England side after he was dropped the very next Test after his first century. He has a real opportunity to make the No 3 slot his own here. Of course, he has spent time in the IPL, too. That will be our hot topic for our debate today. What do you think about the players who have spent their time warming up for this series with a thrash and bash in South Africa? Email me at hawkeyeview@hotmail.co.uk
WICKET 11.33 Eng 28-1
Typical. There’s me singing the praises of Strauss and he edges one behind to the keeper. One shot too many. Still, England’s price has drifted as a result. Out to [2.24] and I’m sure that is a decent price to trade.The wicket looks flat and slow, rather like those run-laden tracks in the Caribbean.
11.22 Eng 20-0
Consecutive fours for Andrew Strauss. Nothing particularly groudbreaking there you may think. Ordinarily no. However, it was the manner with which he propelled the ball to the boundary. Staright bat, down the ground for four. And then again. That is the shot of a man in form. In our preview we highlighted that Strauss is the man to follow for first-innings top-bat honours and those two strokes have only served to convince me more. He is [2.72].
11.12 Eng 10-0
We’re off to a comedy start at Lord’s. David Lloyd has just asked Nick Knight what it was like to be inserted on this ground. Keep it to yourself, please chaps. Not entirley sure what Knight is doing there actually. We wait to see who has been bumped off to make room for the left-hander. Perhaps the Sky team reckon that with Strauss and Cook both southpaws they needed a former cackhanded opener to bring some expertise. The problem is that Knight is so obsessed with self-deprecation that it is rare that he even admits to being able to hold a piece of willow.
11.09 Eng 7-0
And these are the prices: England [2.18], West Indies [8.20] and the draw [2.28]. Traditionally at Lord’s runs flow on the first day so we should expect West Indies’ price to drift gloriously off into the sunset while everything else will shorten – the draw most dramatically, though.
11.05 Eng 3-0
These are the teams then for this first Test of two.
England: A Strauss, A Cook, RS Bopara, KP Pietersen, PD Collingwood, MJ Prior, TT Bresnan, SCJ Broad, JM Anderson, GP Swann, G Onions
West Indies: C Gayle, DS Smith, RR Sarwan, LMP Simmons, S Chanderpaul, BP Nash, D Ramdin, JE Taylor, SJ Benn, FH Edwards, LS Baker
11.00 Eng 0-0
Anyone wondering what affect Chris Gayle’s late arrival from the IPL to join this West Indies side has had on his decision making have an answer. He has decided to bowl first after winning the toss. On the last seven ocassions when the hosts have batted first at HQ, they have scored 500 or more five times.
IPL Betting: Deccan Chargers v Mumbai Indians
Having started so well the Deccan Chargers now appear to be in freefall whilst the Mumbai Indians have been brilliant at times and less so at others with Tendulkar so often being the difference between success and failure, says Jaymes Monte.
Team News
Both sides have relatively settled batting line-ups and I certainly don’t see there being many changes in that department from the Mumbai Indians. Jayasuriya and Tendulkar will open with JP Duminy and Abhisek Nayar following them. Deccan may be tempted to change it around a little as things haven’t really gone to plan recently. However, they may also take the view that this is the same side that won their first four games on the bounce and back the players to pull through this bad patch.
With the ball Mumbai boast two of the tournament’s top five economical bowlers. Harbhajan Singh has taken just three wickets throughout the tournament but done so at an economy rate of 6.11. And the success story of the 2009 IPL is undoubtedly Lasith Malinga who is the third highest wicket taker with eleven, whilst boasting the best economy rate of the tournament; just 4.36.
Deccan are now without Fidel Edwards who has joined up with his compatriots in England for the opening test. His proficiency in the opening and closing overs of an innings will be sorely missed. However they do have two of the top five tournament wicket takers to call upon; RP Singh and Pragyan Ojha have twenty-two dismissals between them.
Venue, pitch and conditions
Just three IPL matches have been played in Centurion thus far, and a knock of 151.6 has been the average 1st innings score. Of the sides batting first, only the Chennai Super Kings, who set a target of 165 runs, have been victorious. Both Deccan and Delhi posted scores in the 140s and were both chased down in less than 19 overs. Those stats suggest that if the team batting first serve up a sub 150 score it would be well advised to back that total to be chased down with relative ease.
There is expected to be some cloud cover in the area on Wednesday, but the rain shouldn’t arrive till Thursday. Meaning there shouldn’t be any sign of our old friends Duckworth and Lewis for this match-up and we should get a full twenty overs per side.
Match Odds
Two very evenly matched sides should in theory throw up odds of close to [2.0] the pair. For that reason I’d be more than tempted to take the Deccan Chargers at around the [2.2] mark. Although both teams’ recent fortunes suggest that it won’t be as one sided as when they met earlier in the tournament and Deccan won extremely comfortably.
Sachin Tendulkar has been so influential with the bat in the majority of Mumbai’s victory’s that if he is dismissed early on I’d be tempted to top up on Deccan. Conversely, if he gets himself set and scoring runs I’d be looking to get out of any back of Deccan, or at worst, minimise losses.
Top Batsman
The Mumbai Indians’ run scoring has largely centred around two men throughout this tournament. The influential ‘Little Master’, Sachin Tendulkar who has been a pillar of consistency and provided platforms for match winning totals to be built upon. And on the rare occasions that he has slipped up, South African JP Duminy has stepped into fill the void, high scoring with 59 against the Kings XI Punjab and with a tournament average of 46.5. I wouldn’t be looking any further than these two men to carry my money in this market.
The tournament also began as a bit of a double act for the Deccan Chargers with the bat, as Herschelle Gibbs and Adam Gilchrist were the ones to consistently make the scoreboard tick. However they do have a bit more strength in depth; Rohit Sharma, Tirumalsetti Suman and Dwayne Smith have all added substantial runs to the cause when called upon. A speculative punt on Suman here at anything around the [7.0], or bigger, mark looks to be a good value wager.
Featured Market
Jayasuriya and Tendulkar have been naturally cautious in starting off their innings throughout the tournament, where as Gibbs and Gilchrist will be keen not to give away an early wicket as they have done in recent matches. For that reason I’d be looking at ‘Under 7runs’ in the ‘First Over Runs’ market regardless of which side are put in to bat first.
Jaymes Monte says: Back ‘Under 7 runs’ in the ‘First Over Runs’ market at anything bigger than [1.7]

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